CARSON
CITY, NEVADA
LOCAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
8:30 AM SATURDAY, AUGUST 28, 2010
Month to date precipitation
for August is 0.15 inches. Year to date precipitation for water
year 2009-2010 beginning October 1, 2009 is 12.02 inches. For the most current weather observations in Carson City, NV, updated every 15
minutes,
CLICK HERE.
SHORT TERM:
Fall like weather is expected over the next
few days. Showers and isolated thunderstorms area wide
with snow possible in the Sierra above 8500 feet on Sunday.
An unseasonably strong trough is beginning
to move into the area this morning. Showers and isolated
thunderstorms cover much of Northern California at this time.
This strong trough is shifting slowly southeast at this time.
A few clouds with gusty winds will continue through the morning
ahead of the cold front located just west of the Sierra crest.
By this afternoon, clouds and showers will increase especially
north of the Reno area while gusty winds will continue south.
Showers will begin to push south into this evening with much
cooler temperatures. Highs today will only be in the upper
60s to low 70s. As the cold core of the low settles in
overnight and Sunday, shower coverage will increase especially
during the day with any additional heating. Snow is
possible above 8500 feet tonight and Sunday, so some light
accumulations of an inch or two are possible over the highest
peaks. Highs on Sunday may have a a difficult time even
reaching 60 in the valleys if clouds and showers persist.
Total precipitation amounts are forecast to be around 1/10th of
an inch of rain in the valleys with 1/4 to 1/3 of an inch in the
Sierra. With the cool and damp conditions expected, we
should see a significant reduction of the fire danger over the
next few days.
Showers will begin to decrease Sunday night
as the low gradually pulls off to the east. If skies clear
Sunday night, very cool morning lows may occur Monday morning
with some lows in the 30s with even colder low temperatures in
the Sierra valleys. A gradual warming trend will begin on
Monday lasting through the end of next week. Temperatures
will return to near normal in the mid and upper 80s with typical
breezy afternoon conditions returning late in the week as
another trough deepens along the Pacific coast.
EXTENDED LONG RANGE:
As the trough departs next week, a ridge
will build into the desert southwest for a significant warming
trend during the week leading into the Labor Day weekend.
This trend will again be short lived as another trough drops
down from the Gulf of Alaska to bring cooler and windy weather
by the end of the Labor Day weekend into week 2. Looking
further out, La Nina has continues to strengthen as sea surface
temperature anomalies continue to drop below average along with
very cool sea surface temperatures along the west coast.
This will provide a continuation of a trough type pattern along
the California coast. Initially this will bring periods of
cool unsettled weather to the northern half of California and
Nevada through the month of September. As with most
ENSO years, weather patterns in our area are on the border with
wet and dry weather. Typically as we go into the fall
season, the storm track will favor the Pacific Northwest while
California and Nevada typically remain dry with clear cold
nights and sunny days with several offshore wind events into the
month of October.
R. Sandberg
CONTACT INFO:
carsonspotter@earthclimate.info
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